[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"i-heroicons:chat-bubble-left-right":3,"categories":8,"i-heroicons:chevron-down":57,"i-heroicons:magnifying-glass":59,"i-lucide:moon":61,"i-lucide:sun":63,"i-heroicons:user-circle":65,"i-heroicons:bars-3":67,"footer-categories":69,"i-heroicons:rss":78,"article-september-inflation-forecast-74-percent-bsp-target-seventh-month-october-2026":80,"article-related-september-inflation-forecast-74-percent-bsp-target-seventh-month-october-2026":116,"i-heroicons:home":155,"i-heroicons:chevron-right":157,"i-heroicons:calendar":159,"i-heroicons:clock":161,"i-simple-icons:facebook":163,"i-simple-icons:x":165,"i-simple-icons:linkedin":167,"i-simple-icons:whatsapp":170,"i-heroicons:link":172},{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":7},0,24,false,"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"M20.25 8.511c.884.284 1.5 1.128 1.5 2.097v4.286c0 1.136-.847 2.1-1.98 2.193q-.51.041-1.02.072v3.091l-3-3q-2.031 0-4.02-.163a2.1 2.1 0 0 1-.825-.242m9.345-8.334a2 2 0 0 0-.476-.095a48.6 48.6 0 0 0-8.048 0c-1.131.094-1.976 1.057-1.976 2.192v4.286c0 .837.46 1.58 1.155 1.951m9.345-8.334V6.637c0-1.621-1.152-3.026-2.76-3.235A48.5 48.5 0 0 0 11.25 3c-2.115 0-4.198.137-6.24.402c-1.608.209-2.76 1.614-2.76 3.235v6.226c0 1.621 1.152 3.026 2.76 3.235q.865.113 1.74.194V21l4.155-4.155\"/>",[9,15,21,27,33,39,45,51],{"id":10,"name":11,"slug":12,"description":13,"created_at":14,"updated_at":14},"be6f8ba6-0e47-4541-aebb-6813ccdd2102","Elections","elections","COMELEC updates, campaign coverage, candidate profiles, election results, and voter education for national and local elections","2025-12-10T17:10:42.101972Z",{"id":16,"name":17,"slug":18,"description":19,"created_at":20,"updated_at":20},"755de1e0-0bda-4325-91bc-f5f713874800","Investigations","investigations","In-depth investigative journalism on corruption, anomalies, and accountability in government","2025-12-10T17:10:42.106866Z",{"id":22,"name":23,"slug":24,"description":25,"created_at":26,"updated_at":26},"ec735825-d1b2-4956-af88-07bc895af11b","Judiciary","judiciary","Supreme Court decisions, legal cases involving public officials, and justice system developments","2025-12-10T17:10:42.110026Z",{"id":28,"name":29,"slug":30,"description":31,"created_at":32,"updated_at":32},"e1ed44e2-637c-45ba-b7b8-471653490f41","Legislative","legislative","Bills, laws, committee hearings, and proceedings from the Senate and House of Representatives","2025-12-10T17:10:42.108465Z",{"id":34,"name":35,"slug":36,"description":37,"created_at":38,"updated_at":38},"987d90cc-177c-43bb-86d2-ce61f0968859","Local Government","local-government","News from provinces, cities, municipalities, and barangays including LGU programs, local ordinances, and regional development initiatives","2025-12-10T17:10:42.100342Z",{"id":40,"name":41,"slug":42,"description":43,"created_at":44,"updated_at":44},"36b2ea04-5b7f-4e75-bbf3-6a238e50600c","National Politics","national-politics","Coverage of Malacañang, Congress, and national government affairs including executive orders, legislative proceedings, and inter-agency coordination","2025-12-10T17:10:42.096683Z",{"id":46,"name":47,"slug":48,"description":49,"created_at":50,"updated_at":50},"00d0b27c-faad-413b-ab22-1a345c36b651","Opinion","opinion","Editorial commentary, expert analysis, and diverse perspectives on Philippine political issues and governance","2025-12-10T17:10:42.105211Z",{"id":52,"name":53,"slug":54,"description":55,"created_at":56,"updated_at":56},"27e70b57-ded6-4da9-a494-78d8a4d600e1","Policy","policy","Analysis of government policies, programs, and reforms including economic measures, social welfare initiatives, and regulatory changes","2025-12-10T17:10:42.103552Z",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":58},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"m19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5l-7.5-7.5\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":60},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"m21 21l-5.197-5.197m0 0A7.5 7.5 0 1 0 5.196 5.196a7.5 7.5 0 0 0 10.607 10.607\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":62},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"2\" d=\"M20.985 12.486a9 9 0 1 1-9.473-9.472c.405-.022.617.46.402.803a6 6 0 0 0 8.268 8.268c.344-.215.825-.004.803.401\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":64},"\u003Cg fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"2\">\u003Ccircle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"4\"/>\u003Cpath d=\"M12 2v2m0 16v2M4.93 4.93l1.41 1.41m11.32 11.32l1.41 1.41M2 12h2m16 0h2M6.34 17.66l-1.41 1.41M19.07 4.93l-1.41 1.41\"/>\u003C/g>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":66},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"M17.982 18.725A7.49 7.49 0 0 0 12 15.75a7.49 7.49 0 0 0-5.982 2.975m11.964 0a9 9 0 1 0-11.963 0m11.962 0A8.97 8.97 0 0 1 12 21a8.97 8.97 0 0 1-5.982-2.275M15 9.75a3 3 0 1 1-6 0a3 3 0 0 1 6 0\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":68},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"M3.75 6.75h16.5M3.75 12h16.5m-16.5 5.25h16.5\"/>",[70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77],{"id":10,"name":11,"slug":12,"description":13,"created_at":14,"updated_at":14},{"id":16,"name":17,"slug":18,"description":19,"created_at":20,"updated_at":20},{"id":22,"name":23,"slug":24,"description":25,"created_at":26,"updated_at":26},{"id":28,"name":29,"slug":30,"description":31,"created_at":32,"updated_at":32},{"id":34,"name":35,"slug":36,"description":37,"created_at":38,"updated_at":38},{"id":40,"name":41,"slug":42,"description":43,"created_at":44,"updated_at":44},{"id":46,"name":47,"slug":48,"description":49,"created_at":50,"updated_at":50},{"id":52,"name":53,"slug":54,"description":55,"created_at":56,"updated_at":56},{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":79},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"M12.75 19.5v-.75a7.5 7.5 0 0 0-7.5-7.5H4.5m0-6.75h.75c7.87 0 14.25 6.38 14.25 14.25v.75M6 18.75a.75.75 0 1 1-1.5 0a.75.75 0 0 1 1.5 0\"/>",{"id":81,"slug":82,"title":83,"summary":84,"content":85,"category_id":52,"status":86,"view_count":4,"published_at":87,"created_at":88,"updated_at":88,"category":89,"tags":91},"03c6d260-bef8-44b1-b0e6-5d83553698ec","september-inflation-forecast-74-percent-bsp-target-seventh-month-october-2026","Inflation Forecast to Hit Up to 7.4% — a 3.5-Year High and Seventh Straight Month Above BSP's Target, as the Central Bank 'Remains Vigilant'","Economists expect September inflation between 6.4 and 7.4 percent as typhoon-hit food supply, costlier fuel and a sliding peso compound — while the BSP's public position remains that it is watching.","\u003Cp>Filipino households are bracing for the steepest price surge in more than three years. According to the \u003Cem>Philippine Star\u003C/em> (Oct. 1, 2026), forecasts for September inflation range from 6.4 to 7.4 percent, up from 6.1 percent in August and potentially the highest reading in 3.5 years. Manila Bulletin's headline on Sept. 30 put the upper end at 7.4 percent. The official number is due Oct. 6.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cp>The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) targets inflation of 2 to 4 percent. A September reading anywhere in the forecast range would be the seventh straight month above that band. The BSP's stated response, as reported by the \u003Cem>Star\u003C/em>: it "will remain vigilant and guided by incoming data" while assessing geopolitical and weather effects. That is a statement of attention, not of action, and it does not say what the central bank would do if the data keep coming in worse.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Ch3>What is pushing prices up\u003C/h3>\n\n\u003Cp>According to the \u003Cem>Star\u003C/em>, the drivers cited by analysts are bad weather lifting the prices of vegetables, fish, rice and fruit; higher domestic petroleum prices; and peso depreciation that makes imports costlier. Partial offsets are lower meat prices and lower electricity rates.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cp>RCBC Chief Economist Michael Ricafort, quoted by the \u003Cem>Star\u003C/em>, expects 6.7 percent for September, pointing to weather-related food constraints, energy costs, currency weakness and what economists call an unfavorable base effect: inflation was just 1.7 percent in September last year, so this year's increase is measured against an unusually low starting point.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cp>Ricafort also warned of "second-round effects," including from the ₱60 Metro Manila minimum wage increase and the continuing pass-through of energy and import costs, meaning prices could stay elevated even after the original shocks fade.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Ch3>The numbers don't quite line up\u003C/h3>\n\n\u003Cp>\u003Cstrong>Analysis:\u003C/strong> Two sets of numbers deserve to be held side by side. According to the \u003Cem>Philippine Star\u003C/em>'s Sept. 26 report by Keisha Ta-Asan, the International Monetary Fund now projects 2026 inflation at 5.6 percent, a slight trim from 5.7 percent, while cutting its 2026 growth forecast to 3.4 percent from 3.9 percent. IMF mission chief Andrea Pescatori was quoted as saying the BSP's tightening "has kept inflation expectations anchored" and that the policy stance is "approximately neutral."\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cp>A full-year average is not a single month, so the figures are not strictly contradictory. But an economy forecast to post 6.4 to 7.4 percent inflation in September, after 6.1 percent in August and seven months above target, makes "anchored expectations" and a "neutral" stance a generous description for households paying the bill. Neither the IMF nor the BSP has said, in the reports cited here, how much further above target inflation would have to go before the stance stops being neutral. That question remains unanswered.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Cp>The IMF also raised its 2027 inflation forecast sharply, to 4.1 percent from 3.3 percent, according to the same report, which suggests the fund does not expect the problem to vanish with the year.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Ch3>Context\u003C/h3>\n\n\u003Cp>The price pressures arrive amid an energy crisis that has already prompted the government to suspend excise taxes on LPG and kerosene, a measure Customs says costs at least ₱700 million a month, and a record-high debt burden that will absorb ₱1.114 trillion of the proposed 2027 budget in interest. The IMF cited weaker second-quarter performance, sluggish investment, delays in public infrastructure spending, elevated global oil prices and El Niño-related food supply risks as reasons for its downgrade, according to the \u003Cem>Star\u003C/em>. Manufacturing GDP contracted 2.3 percent in the second quarter, per the same report.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Ch3>What is still unknown\u003C/h3>\n\n\u003Cp>The official September figure from the Philippine Statistics Authority will not be released until Oct. 6. The BSP has not said what policy steps it is considering. The reports cited do not quantify how much of the September jump is attributable to the typhoon-driven food shock, which could prove temporary, versus fuel and peso weakness, which are stickier.\u003C/p>\n\n\u003Ch3>Sources\u003C/h3>\n\u003Cul>\n\u003Cli>Philippine Star, "Inflation seen at highest level in over three years," Oct. 1, 2026 — https://www.philstar.com/business/2026/10/01/2560070/inflation-seen-highest-level-over-three-years\u003C/li>\n\u003Cli>Manila Bulletin, "Inflation may have surged to 3.5-year high of 7.4% in September as food, peso, oil pressures mount," Sept. 30, 2026 (headline and snippet only; page not retrievable) — https://mb.com.ph/2026/09/30/inflation-may-have-surged-to-35-year-high-of-74-in-september-as-food-peso-oil-pressures-mount\u003C/li>\n\u003Cli>Philippine Star (Keisha Ta-Asan), "IMF slashes Philippine 2026 growth target to 3.4 percent," Sept. 26, 2026 — https://www.philstar.com/business/2026/09/26/2558892/imf-slashes-philippine-2026-growth-target-34-percent\u003C/li>\n\u003C/ul>","published","2026-10-02T22:07:25.641189Z","2026-10-02T22:07:25.642142Z",{"id":52,"name":53,"slug":54,"description":55,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"0001-01-01T00:00:00Z",[92,96,100,104,108,112],{"id":93,"name":94,"slug":95,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"d17b3c34-6677-4a5f-b960-68ae07300a17","Inflation","inflation",{"id":97,"name":98,"slug":99,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"0a5a8073-3415-4ecc-9838-e7b273ec93a1","Minimum Wage","minimum-wage",{"id":101,"name":102,"slug":103,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"5ae4877f-7d5d-43b0-a204-13ccc674561c","Economy","economy",{"id":105,"name":106,"slug":107,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"804d7e6e-1f76-48c7-9e53-64c80410e18e","BSP","bsp",{"id":109,"name":110,"slug":111,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"037695bb-4c4a-4eaf-8f61-279fb886eba5","Energy Crisis","energy-crisis",{"id":113,"name":114,"slug":115,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"c5171f92-46f7-4fc9-a8b4-b3e6d0eac8f0","Rice Prices","rice-prices",[117,131,139,147],{"id":118,"slug":119,"title":120,"summary":121,"featured_image":122,"status":86,"view_count":123,"published_at":124,"created_at":125,"author_name":126,"author_slug":127,"author_avatar":128,"category_name":53,"category_slug":54,"primary_politician_name":129,"primary_politician_slug":130},"f881aa2a-58fd-4cf1-b09a-05cfa115eb40","bsp-cuts-rate-4-25-percent-flood-control-scandal-economy","BSP Cuts Key Rate to 4.25%, Its Lowest in Over Three Years, as Flood Control Scandal Continues to Weigh on Economy","BSP cuts its benchmark rate to 4.25%, a three-year low, marking its sixth straight reduction. The flood control corruption scandal continues to suppress consumer and investor confidence in the Philippine economy.","https://r2.pulpulitiko.com/2025/12/0a4f27a4-c42b-440d-8269-4023090fe775.webp",13,"2026-02-22T17:50:20.373196Z","2026-02-22T17:50:20.374055Z","Humfurie","humfurie","https://r2.pulpulitiko.com/2025/12/6c994953-8102-4fd5-a648-70447dc9a17f.jpg","Eli Remolona Jr.","eli-remolona",{"id":132,"slug":133,"title":134,"summary":135,"featured_image":122,"status":86,"view_count":136,"published_at":137,"created_at":138,"author_name":126,"author_slug":127,"author_avatar":128,"category_name":53,"category_slug":54},"93310c92-0a50-4c43-854d-b31fc085ff41","bsp-maintains-policy-rate-amid-inflation-concerns","BSP Maintains Policy Rate Amid Persistent Inflation Concerns","The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas holds interest rates steady while signaling readiness to act if price pressures persist.",10,"2025-12-15T14:34:03.974905Z","2025-12-10T17:10:42.512946Z",{"id":140,"slug":141,"title":142,"summary":143,"status":86,"view_count":144,"published_at":145,"created_at":146,"category_name":53,"category_slug":54},"cd8335b1-140d-45b6-888c-789e91e4d3eb","cash-remittances-slowest-growth-four-years-middle-east-conflict-august-2026","OFW Cash Remittances Grow at Slowest Pace in Over Four Years as Middle East Conflict, Inflation Squeeze Households","BSP data show June cash remittances rose just 1.7% year-on-year — the weakest growth since February 2022 — as analysts point to Middle East geopolitical uncertainty and elevated living costs abroad, even as inflation at home stayed above target for a fourth straight month.",6,"2026-08-18T06:22:18.373427Z","2026-08-18T06:22:18.373667Z",{"id":148,"slug":149,"title":150,"summary":151,"status":86,"view_count":152,"published_at":153,"created_at":154,"category_name":53,"category_slug":54},"dcbe36fb-442f-4d53-b1ab-708c39e0b724","philippines-inflation-may-2026-psa-68-percent-bsp-forecast-missed","Philippine Inflation Eases to 6.8% in May, Below BSP's Own Forecast, as Transport and Fuel Cost Pressures Moderate","The Philippine Statistics Authority reported on June 5 that headline inflation slowed to 6.8% in May 2026 — lower than the BSP's forecast range of 7.1% to 7.9% and down from April's 7.2% — driven by a sharp deceleration in transport and fuel prices, though the five-month average of 4.5% remains above the government's 2–4% target band and food inflation persists at 5.8%.",3,"2026-06-10T07:27:03.240153Z","2026-06-10T07:27:03.241072Z",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":156},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" 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