[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"i-heroicons:chat-bubble-left-right":3,"categories":8,"i-heroicons:chevron-down":57,"i-heroicons:magnifying-glass":59,"i-lucide:moon":61,"i-lucide:sun":63,"i-heroicons:user-circle":65,"i-heroicons:bars-3":67,"footer-categories":69,"i-heroicons:rss":78,"article-bsp-balance-of-payments-deficit-9-2-billion-2026-current-account-widens-oil-shock-october-2026":80,"article-related-bsp-balance-of-payments-deficit-9-2-billion-2026-current-account-widens-oil-shock-october-2026":112,"i-heroicons:home":143,"i-heroicons:chevron-right":145,"i-heroicons:calendar":147,"i-heroicons:clock":149,"i-simple-icons:facebook":151,"i-simple-icons:x":153,"i-simple-icons:linkedin":155,"i-simple-icons:whatsapp":158,"i-heroicons:link":160},{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":7},0,24,false,"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"M20.25 8.511c.884.284 1.5 1.128 1.5 2.097v4.286c0 1.136-.847 2.1-1.98 2.193q-.51.041-1.02.072v3.091l-3-3q-2.031 0-4.02-.163a2.1 2.1 0 0 1-.825-.242m9.345-8.334a2 2 0 0 0-.476-.095a48.6 48.6 0 0 0-8.048 0c-1.131.094-1.976 1.057-1.976 2.192v4.286c0 .837.46 1.58 1.155 1.951m9.345-8.334V6.637c0-1.621-1.152-3.026-2.76-3.235A48.5 48.5 0 0 0 11.25 3c-2.115 0-4.198.137-6.24.402c-1.608.209-2.76 1.614-2.76 3.235v6.226c0 1.621 1.152 3.026 2.76 3.235q.865.113 1.74.194V21l4.155-4.155\"/>",[9,15,21,27,33,39,45,51],{"id":10,"name":11,"slug":12,"description":13,"created_at":14,"updated_at":14},"be6f8ba6-0e47-4541-aebb-6813ccdd2102","Elections","elections","COMELEC updates, campaign coverage, candidate profiles, election results, and voter education for national and local elections","2025-12-10T17:10:42.101972Z",{"id":16,"name":17,"slug":18,"description":19,"created_at":20,"updated_at":20},"755de1e0-0bda-4325-91bc-f5f713874800","Investigations","investigations","In-depth investigative journalism on corruption, anomalies, and accountability in government","2025-12-10T17:10:42.106866Z",{"id":22,"name":23,"slug":24,"description":25,"created_at":26,"updated_at":26},"ec735825-d1b2-4956-af88-07bc895af11b","Judiciary","judiciary","Supreme Court decisions, legal cases involving public officials, and justice system developments","2025-12-10T17:10:42.110026Z",{"id":28,"name":29,"slug":30,"description":31,"created_at":32,"updated_at":32},"e1ed44e2-637c-45ba-b7b8-471653490f41","Legislative","legislative","Bills, laws, committee hearings, and proceedings from the Senate and House of Representatives","2025-12-10T17:10:42.108465Z",{"id":34,"name":35,"slug":36,"description":37,"created_at":38,"updated_at":38},"987d90cc-177c-43bb-86d2-ce61f0968859","Local Government","local-government","News from provinces, cities, municipalities, and barangays including LGU programs, local ordinances, and regional development initiatives","2025-12-10T17:10:42.100342Z",{"id":40,"name":41,"slug":42,"description":43,"created_at":44,"updated_at":44},"36b2ea04-5b7f-4e75-bbf3-6a238e50600c","National Politics","national-politics","Coverage of Malacañang, Congress, and national government affairs including executive orders, legislative proceedings, and inter-agency coordination","2025-12-10T17:10:42.096683Z",{"id":46,"name":47,"slug":48,"description":49,"created_at":50,"updated_at":50},"00d0b27c-faad-413b-ab22-1a345c36b651","Opinion","opinion","Editorial commentary, expert analysis, and diverse perspectives on Philippine political issues and governance","2025-12-10T17:10:42.105211Z",{"id":52,"name":53,"slug":54,"description":55,"created_at":56,"updated_at":56},"27e70b57-ded6-4da9-a494-78d8a4d600e1","Policy","policy","Analysis of government policies, programs, and reforms including economic measures, social welfare initiatives, and regulatory changes","2025-12-10T17:10:42.103552Z",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":58},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"m19.5 8.25l-7.5 7.5l-7.5-7.5\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":60},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"m21 21l-5.197-5.197m0 0A7.5 7.5 0 1 0 5.196 5.196a7.5 7.5 0 0 0 10.607 10.607\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":62},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"2\" d=\"M20.985 12.486a9 9 0 1 1-9.473-9.472c.405-.022.617.46.402.803a6 6 0 0 0 8.268 8.268c.344-.215.825-.004.803.401\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":64},"\u003Cg fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"2\">\u003Ccircle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"4\"/>\u003Cpath d=\"M12 2v2m0 16v2M4.93 4.93l1.41 1.41m11.32 11.32l1.41 1.41M2 12h2m16 0h2M6.34 17.66l-1.41 1.41M19.07 4.93l-1.41 1.41\"/>\u003C/g>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":66},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"M17.982 18.725A7.49 7.49 0 0 0 12 15.75a7.49 7.49 0 0 0-5.982 2.975m11.964 0a9 9 0 1 0-11.963 0m11.962 0A8.97 8.97 0 0 1 12 21a8.97 8.97 0 0 1-5.982-2.275M15 9.75a3 3 0 1 1-6 0a3 3 0 0 1 6 0\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":68},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"M3.75 6.75h16.5M3.75 12h16.5m-16.5 5.25h16.5\"/>",[70,71,72,73,74,75,76,77],{"id":10,"name":11,"slug":12,"description":13,"created_at":14,"updated_at":14},{"id":16,"name":17,"slug":18,"description":19,"created_at":20,"updated_at":20},{"id":22,"name":23,"slug":24,"description":25,"created_at":26,"updated_at":26},{"id":28,"name":29,"slug":30,"description":31,"created_at":32,"updated_at":32},{"id":34,"name":35,"slug":36,"description":37,"created_at":38,"updated_at":38},{"id":40,"name":41,"slug":42,"description":43,"created_at":44,"updated_at":44},{"id":46,"name":47,"slug":48,"description":49,"created_at":50,"updated_at":50},{"id":52,"name":53,"slug":54,"description":55,"created_at":56,"updated_at":56},{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":79},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"M12.75 19.5v-.75a7.5 7.5 0 0 0-7.5-7.5H4.5m0-6.75h.75c7.87 0 14.25 6.38 14.25 14.25v.75M6 18.75a.75.75 0 1 1-1.5 0a.75.75 0 0 1 1.5 0\"/>",{"id":81,"slug":82,"title":83,"summary":84,"content":85,"category_id":52,"status":86,"view_count":4,"published_at":87,"created_at":88,"updated_at":88,"category":89,"tags":91},"14f16758-32e3-430d-bc50-fb878ce0e9aa","bsp-balance-of-payments-deficit-9-2-billion-2026-current-account-widens-oil-shock-october-2026","BSP Says the Oil Shock Will Leave a $9.2-Billion Payments Deficit This Year — and Widens Its Current Account Gap Even as the Overall Number Improves","The central bank trimmed its balance-of-payments deficit forecasts to $9.2 billion for 2026 and $8.5 billion for 2027, but now sees a bigger 2026 current account deficit of $19.1 billion, with imports rising faster than exports.","\u003Cp>\u003Cem>The headline number got better. The number that shows how much the country is paying for oil and imports got worse.\u003C/em>\u003C/p>\n\u003Cp>The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) has trimmed its forecasts for the balance-of-payments (BOP) deficit to $9.2 billion in 2026, or 1.8% of GDP, from the $10.7 billion (2.1%) it projected last quarter, according to \u003Cstrong>Philstar\u003C/strong> (Oct. 14, 2026). For 2027 it now sees a deficit of $8.5 billion (1.6% of GDP), down from $11 billion (2.1%).\u003C/p>\n\u003Cp>That is the good news, and the BSP's statement to that effect is likely to be the part quoted. The rest of the table is less comfortable.\u003C/p>\n\u003Ch3>The current account got worse\u003C/h3>\n\u003Cp>Per Philstar's report, the BSP now projects a 2026 current account deficit of $19.1 billion (3.8% of GDP), wider than the $18 billion (3.6%) forecast earlier. For 2027 it expects $19.4 billion (3.6% of GDP), a slight narrowing from $19.7 billion (3.7%).\u003C/p>\n\u003Cp>The reason is on the import side. The BSP raised its 2026 goods import forecast to $139.7 billion from $135.3 billion, and its 2027 forecast to $143.9 billion from $142 billion. Goods exports were also revised up, to $67.2 billion in 2026 and $69.9 billion in 2027, but by less. The result: a goods and services trade deficit of $58.6 billion in 2026, wider than the $56.7 billion forecast before, and $60.3 billion in 2027, narrower than the earlier $61.7 billion.\u003C/p>\n\u003Cp>Services exports were revised up to $53.6 billion (2026) and $55.7 billion (2027), and BPO revenues to $34.5 billion and $35.5 billion, both slightly higher than before.\u003C/p>\n\u003Ch3>What the BSP blames\u003C/h3>\n\u003Cp>The BSP said the deficits "highlight the shock from elevated oil and commodity prices," and cited geopolitical tensions and uneven global growth. It described gross international reserves, forecast unchanged at $104 billion in 2026 and $105 billion in 2027, as "serving as a critical buffer against external shocks." Cash remittances were also left unchanged: $36.6 billion in 2026 (2.7% growth) and $37.7 billion in 2027 (3% growth).\u003C/p>\n\u003Cp>The Philstar report attributes the statements to the central bank as an institution and names no BSP official. It does not say what the BSP expects the peso to do, nor how much of the import bill is oil.\u003C/p>\n\u003Ch3>Notes on what doesn't line up\u003C/h3>\n\u003Cp>An improved BOP deficit alongside a wider current account deficit means other flows, not trade, are filling the gap; the Philstar report does not break these down, so readers should not assume it reflects a stronger trade position. Pulpulitiko's Oct. 9 report on Bank of America's outlook cited a current account gap of 6.4% of GDP; the BSP's 3.8% forecast for 2026 is a different projection, and the two have not been reconciled here. They may measure different periods.\u003C/p>\n\u003Ch3>Context\u003C/h3>\n\u003Cp>Pulpulitiko reported on Oct. 6 that September inflation hit 7.2% on food, fuel and transport, and on Oct. 10 that the Palace's response was to keep existing programs and watch fuel. Elevated oil prices are now cited by the central bank as the reason the country's external accounts stay in the red. The government's own answer to fuel prices has so far been existing programs and no new measures, costs or targets, as we reported.\u003C/p>\n\u003Cp>Reporting on the BSP's separate warnings about El Niño's effect on prices and supplies appeared in the Manila Times on Oct. 15; we were unable to read that article for this report and have not relied on it.\u003C/p>\n\u003Ch3>Sources\u003C/h3>\n\u003Cul>\n\u003Cli>Philstar, "BSP trims BOP deficit forecasts for 2026, 2027," Oct. 14, 2026: https://philstar.com/business/2026/10/14/2562958/bsp-trims-bop-deficit-forecasts-2026-2027\u003C/li>\n\u003Cli>Pulpulitiko, "Inflation Lands at 7.2%," Oct. 6, 2026; "Palace's Answer to 7.2% Inflation," Oct. 10, 2026; "BofA Sees Philippine Growth Staying Below 3%," Oct. 9, 2026.\u003C/li>\n\u003C/ul>","published","2026-10-17T22:13:17.498064Z","2026-10-17T22:13:17.498319Z",{"id":52,"name":53,"slug":54,"description":55,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"0001-01-01T00:00:00Z",[92,96,100,104,108],{"id":93,"name":94,"slug":95,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"5ae4877f-7d5d-43b0-a204-13ccc674561c","Economy","economy",{"id":97,"name":98,"slug":99,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"804d7e6e-1f76-48c7-9e53-64c80410e18e","BSP","bsp",{"id":101,"name":102,"slug":103,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"89ac7ee2-8907-4264-ac34-7f16c14347d5","Oil Prices","oil-prices",{"id":105,"name":106,"slug":107,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"1c0378ab-2edc-4a8a-bdfd-f17b057ecc48","Current Account","current-account",{"id":109,"name":110,"slug":111,"created_at":90,"updated_at":90},"db6f76b8-02d0-4c74-99e5-ceb982a38803","Trade Deficit","trade-deficit",[113,121,128,135],{"id":114,"slug":115,"title":116,"summary":117,"status":86,"view_count":118,"published_at":119,"created_at":120,"category_name":53,"category_slug":54},"9099be86-d46f-4361-a19e-4cabea29998d","bsp-flags-structural-risks-current-account-premature-deindustrialization-june-2026","BSP Warns Philippines' 'Premature De-Industrialization' Is Making Its External Deficit Harder to Manage","In a newly published book, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas says a weak industrial base, underdeveloped agriculture and heavy import dependence are eroding the buffers — remittances and BPO exports — that have long masked the country's persistent goods trade deficit, even as the current account gap narrowed to $16.3 billion in 2025.",3,"2026-06-13T03:05:26.311844Z","2026-06-13T03:05:26.312754Z",{"id":122,"slug":123,"title":124,"summary":125,"status":86,"view_count":4,"published_at":126,"created_at":127,"category_name":53,"category_slug":54},"56ca82ee-6683-49cc-abb9-2124be2e81f1","anz-peso-record-low-p64-forecast-current-account-september-2026","ANZ Sees Peso Sinking to Record ₱64:$1 by Year-End as Trade Gap Widens and BSP Steps Back","Weak growth, a widening current account deficit and a central bank pulling back from currency defense are set to push the peso to its weakest level ever in the fourth quarter, according to ANZ Research — with no comment yet from the BSP.","2026-09-23T22:22:45.121428Z","2026-09-23T22:22:45.121541Z",{"id":129,"slug":130,"title":131,"summary":132,"status":86,"view_count":118,"published_at":133,"created_at":134,"category_name":53,"category_slug":54},"dcbe36fb-442f-4d53-b1ab-708c39e0b724","philippines-inflation-may-2026-psa-68-percent-bsp-forecast-missed","Philippine Inflation Eases to 6.8% in May, Below BSP's Own Forecast, as Transport and Fuel Cost Pressures Moderate","The Philippine Statistics Authority reported on June 5 that headline inflation slowed to 6.8% in May 2026 — lower than the BSP's forecast range of 7.1% to 7.9% and down from April's 7.2% — driven by a sharp deceleration in transport and fuel prices, though the five-month average of 4.5% remains above the government's 2–4% target band and food inflation persists at 5.8%.","2026-06-10T07:27:03.240153Z","2026-06-10T07:27:03.241072Z",{"id":136,"slug":137,"title":138,"summary":139,"status":86,"view_count":140,"published_at":141,"created_at":142,"category_name":53,"category_slug":54},"dcfbeba0-02b1-49e0-95c1-99b92da4fc38","bsp-june-18-rate-hike-core-inflation-breach-june-2026","Economists See BSP Hiking Up to 50 Basis Points on June 18 as Core Inflation Breaches Target for First Time in 2.5 Years","Even after headline inflation cooled to 6.8% in May, banks including Deutsche Bank, HSBC, Maybank and Nomura expect the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas to keep tightening at its June 18 meeting — because core inflation hit 4.1%, its fastest since December 2023, signaling that the oil-shock price surge is broadening into the rest of the economy.",2,"2026-06-10T01:12:44.475104Z","2026-06-10T01:12:44.476045Z",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":144},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"m2.25 12l8.955-8.955a1.124 1.124 0 0 1 1.59 0L21.75 12M4.5 9.75v10.125c0 .621.504 1.125 1.125 1.125H9.75v-4.875c0-.621.504-1.125 1.125-1.125h2.25c.621 0 1.125.504 1.125 1.125V21h4.125c.621 0 1.125-.504 1.125-1.125V9.75M8.25 21h8.25\"/>",{"left":4,"top":4,"width":5,"height":5,"rotate":4,"vFlip":6,"hFlip":6,"body":146},"\u003Cpath fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" d=\"m8.25 4.5l7.5 7.5l-7.5 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